What voters say about Question 3.

Three polls have asked Marylanders about Question 3. Two were paid for by the campaigns and read voters the ballot’s words. One, from UMBC, asked in plain words. The plainer the question, the fewer voters who couldn’t answer.

The polls

I don’t understand the amendment.

The most common answer in the poll for the campaign that supports Question 3. Below, each poll as 100 dots. Gold is undecided.

Supporters’ poll

Asked with the ballot’s own words

  • 40 for
  • 25 undecided
  • 35 against

Fight Back Maryland (supports Question 3)
Hart Research · Sept. 8–10 · 600 likely voters

Opponents’ poll

Asked with the ballot’s own words

  • 28 for
  • 31 undecided
  • 40 against
  • 1 not reported

Protect Maryland Votes (opposes Question 3)
Ragnar / Lincoln Park · Sept. 10–13 · 600 likely voters

Independent poll

Asked in plain words

  • 25 for
  • 19 undecided
  • 53 against
  • 3 not reported

UMBC Institute of Politics (independent)
UMBC Poll · Sept. 22–27 · 776 likely voters

“A vote FOR Question 3 eliminates the state’s requirement that congressional districts be compact and connected, removing constraints on how state lawmakers can draw congressional district lines. A vote AGAINST keeps those requirements in place.”

Each grid is 100 likely voters. Gold is undecided.

Read the ballot’s words, and a quarter to a third of voters can’t decide. Asked in plain words, a majority is against it.

Sources for this section

The numbers

Side by side.

Who paid, who polled, when, how many, and what they were asked. Each poll has a margin of error of about 4 points; UMBC’s is 3.5.

SponsorForAgainstUndecidedPollsterDatesSampleAsked
Fight Back Marylandsupports40%35%25%Hart ResearchSept. 8–10, 2026600 likely votersThe ballot’s exact words
Protect Maryland Votesopposes28%40%31%Ragnar / Lincoln ParkSept. 10–13, 2026600 likely votersThe ballot’s exact words
UMBC Institute of Politicsindependent25%53%19%UMBC PollSept. 22–27, 2026776 likely votersA plain description of each vote

What UMBC read to voters

“A vote FOR Question 3 eliminates the state’s requirement that congressional districts be compact and connected, removing constraints on how state lawmakers can draw congressional district lines. A vote AGAINST keeps those requirements in place.”

UMBC Institute of Politics, released October 7, 2026. UMBC’s own note: “Official ballot language is often written to meet legal requirements, not readability.”

Sources for this section

How to read them

Different questions, so not a direct comparison.

What each poll can and can’t tell you.

UMBC asked a different question from the two campaign polls. It read voters a plain description of each vote instead of the ballot’s words. So the numbers aren’t a direct comparison.

Each campaign paid for its own poll. In the Fight Back Maryland poll, support rose to 53% and undecided fell to 11% after voters heard an argument for it. How the question is explained changes the answer.

UMBC reports 97% across its three answers and lists no other category; the dots show the rest as “not reported.” One outlet reported the Protect Maryland Votes poll’s opposition as 41%; Maryland Matters reported 40%, which this site uses.

Sources for this section

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Sources

Every fact on this page is sourced on the whole story’s sources list as well. Quoted wording is in the serif; this site’s own words are in the sans.